Playing with Life Expectancy and Age-specific Mortality Rates. The MeaN Method for Indirect Estimate.

Lucia Zanotto , Alma Mater Studiorum, University of Bologna

Understanding mortality in detail, with respect to age, sex and country, is crucial for comprehending this complex phenomenon. Indirect estimation has emerged as a valid approach to derive analytical values from a synthetic index, allowing us to move beyond the narrow focus on life expectancy at birth that characterizes many forecasting models. By leveraging the resemblances in age-specific death rates among populations with similar life expectancies, it becomes feasible to reconstruct mortality across the entire lifespan. Essentially, this estimation is achieved by averaging age-specific death rates in the proximity of the provided life expectancy at birth. Preliminary results indicate minimal estimation errors and a coherent fit

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 Presented in Session P2. Health, Mortality, Ageing - Aperitivo